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Post by rosey1579 on Sept 28, 2018 14:16:42 GMT -5
Yes, I was thinking of Cracking. My mistake. I didn’t even remember cracking existed. Someone should host it.
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Post by Zinnia on Sept 28, 2018 14:17:54 GMT -5
I've never played Cracking Idea, I don't think. I've played Weird Idea, but I personally didn't care for it all that much.
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Post by HungryPony27 on Sept 28, 2018 14:18:52 GMT -5
No, I still hate the vigilante role.
Everyone in their right mind does, I think.
And I do like scum, but that doesn't mean I'm scum every time we play greaterest.
Also... The stats I did were for Emzy's Mythical game and are completely useless...
They're like a void in the mind... Black...
But I can do the math of Greater if you'd like?
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Post by rosey1579 on Sept 28, 2018 14:23:22 GMT -5
Although it might be interesting to note that the Greater list did change over the course of the last few years. With the addition of Fruit Vendor, Reloader, Parrot Role, One-Shot Townie, Mafia Fruit Vendor, Wereparrot, and Wild Card.
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Post by rosey1579 on Sept 28, 2018 14:23:59 GMT -5
No, I still hate the vigilante role. Everyone in their right mind does, I think. And I do like scum, but that doesn't mean I'm scum every time we play greaterest. Also... The stats I did were for Emzy's Mythical game and are completely useless... They're like a void in the mind... Black... But I can do the math of Greater if you'd like? Vig is the best role in the game, but then again I’ve never claimed to be in my right mind. |
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Post by HungryPony27 on Sept 28, 2018 14:26:21 GMT -5
Although it might be interesting to note that the Greater list did change over the course of the last few years. With the addition of Fruit Vendor, Reloader, Parrot Role, One-Shot Townie, Mafia Fruit Vendor, Wereparrot, and Wild Card. I am doing some math over it. This is a mess. |
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Post by rosey1579 on Sept 28, 2018 14:28:04 GMT -5
Over the new roles?
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Post by HungryPony27 on Sept 28, 2018 14:37:46 GMT -5
Just some percentages. How likely it is that people get town and stuff. |
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Post by rosey1579 on Sept 28, 2018 14:41:47 GMT -5
Just some percentages. How likely it is that people get town and stuff. 83/146 Without discards I’m not sure how technical you can get, but give it a try. |
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Post by HungryPony27 on Sept 28, 2018 14:43:04 GMT -5
90 town
20 mafia
18 Werewolf
9 alien
3 survivor
2 whacker
4 SK
2 Cult
1 Wildcard
146 Roles
That translates to (for the first role and second roll)
61% Town
14% Mafia
12% Werewolf
6% Alien
2% Survivor
1.34% whacker
3% SK
1.34% Cult
0.66% Wildcard
I Could do the math of how great the chance is to hit town twice, ETC ETC. But you can about HALF it for the same event to happen twice sucessfully so that's what I'll do
2xtown: 30
2xmaf: 7
2xww 6
2xalien 3
2x survivor 1
2x whacker <1
2x SK 1.5
2x cult <1
2x WC <1 (To get the same role twice is about 0.33 chance… I like those odds)
And the COMBOS are somewhere between the percentages chance of 2x of both… So for example: You have about a 20% chance to get town maf. (The exact math is pointless because no one reads this besides me)
CONCLUSION:
TOWN IS THE MOST COMMON AND 2X TOWN IS STILL THE MOST COMMON. A TOWN DISCARD DOES NOT MEAN ANYTHING. AND IF ANYTHING, A SCUM DISCARD IS BETTER THAN A TOWN DISCARD.
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Post by HungryPony27 on Sept 28, 2018 14:44:01 GMT -5
Just some percentages. How likely it is that people get town and stuff. 83/146 Without discards I’m not sure how technical you can get, but give it a try. I counted Masons as town... because I thought they were. |
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Post by Zinnia on Sept 28, 2018 14:45:40 GMT -5
Masons I believe are closer to Neighbors in this setup since they aren't certain of each others alignment.
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Post by rosey1579 on Sept 28, 2018 14:45:54 GMT -5
Actually you can’t get the same role twice. Roles are not replaced.
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Post by rosey1579 on Sept 28, 2018 14:46:45 GMT -5
83/146 Without discards I’m not sure how technical you can get, but give it a try. I counted Masons as town... because I thought they were. Only town masons are town. And Mason Doctor etc. |
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Post by HungryPony27 on Sept 28, 2018 14:47:19 GMT -5
Actually you can’t get the same role twice. Roles are not replaced. That decreases the odds of getting things like cult even more... We ought to be most cautious of WW and Maf it seems. Probably also SK |
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