|
|
Post by Kat on Sept 15, 2017 16:15:12 GMT -5
I dont suspect vul. But if we whack we die.
If we no whack we get the same exact result as todya.
And then theres that chance we win? I dont know. Im exhausted
|
|
|
|
Post by rosey1579 on Sept 15, 2017 16:36:01 GMT -5
But then why not just vote for no whack?
Katie you are being strange.
|
|
|
|
Post by Kat on Sept 15, 2017 16:43:47 GMT -5
Because I just told you!
If we do no whack mafia will just not kill anyone again and itll be annoying repeat of today lol.
If we whack vul, he can't die.
Mafia *might* probably will kill him.
They might kill me since I can't be whacked. I doubt they would go for dekay, and they wont go for you since you can't die at night.
If they dont kill vul, its suspect.
Unwhackable mafia IS a thing, you know. And he oculd have just thrown he cant be night killed bc well, he knows he can no longer be night killed.
Granted yours seems like an easy way out role too.
|
|
|
|
Post by Kat on Sept 15, 2017 16:44:10 GMT -5
As does mine, sure. But I CAN die at night. I have no protective role on myself at night.
|
|
|
|
Post by Your Favourite Vulpine on Sept 15, 2017 16:57:19 GMT -5
Katie has a point. I'd say the mafia would rather have lylo on 4 players instead of 3 players. Mathematically it's a 75% chance of winning instead of a 66% chance. So if we don't reduce player numbers to 3, mafia neither will.
If Mafia kills first now during the night, they still have a day to fight through with a 1/3 chance to die. If town is first to whack, Mafia has a 1/4 chance to die, and then only has to strike in the night and kill another person to win.
That, plus the risk of DeKay tracking the Mafia (unless DeKay is mafia herself)
If Katie is mafia and she has that whack redirect role, then town is screwed, no matter what. If we'd whack her, she'd just redirect her whack to Rosey or DeKay, with only 3 survivors, nightkill the other, and endgame me.
If Rosey is nightkilled at the moment 4 players are left... never gonna happen, the mafia would be revealed themselves. Though out of all the claimed roles I see Rosey's as the most likely to be given to a mafia, ideal to unmask a rivalling serial killer or arsonist.
DeKay... I think she's town. Too bad the only trackable role right now is the mafia finishing someone off, which they'd only do if that'd immediately cause a scum victory. So that won't be of any use either. Though maybe some of the game history could give us wisdom.
And myself. whacking me in case of emergency is only good for buying us another day, but for the mafia it's better to strike the other 2 townies first and endgame me in my current state.
My personal no. 1 suspect as of right now has to be Rosey. She's pulled off not NK'ing as the last mafia before and won by watching town decimate itself and strike in the end. (Christmas Mafia, I was her early-fallen scumbuddy back then). And I believe her claim is the most beneficient for a mafia member to have. Add my 3x scum-scum theory to that and I believe we need to whack Rosey.
Though I have the feeling this whole game overall is some kind of sick stalemate time bomb right now. Bwah. :C
I suggest we try to have our rest and wait for DeKay to catch up and share her thoughts.
|
|
|
|
Post by rosey1579 on Sept 15, 2017 16:59:23 GMT -5
You're concerned that Vul is an unwhackable mafia?
It's.. Possible. But it's not very common.
|
|
|
|
Post by Kat on Sept 15, 2017 17:07:38 GMT -5
what in this game is commong? xD
|
|
|
|
Post by Your Favourite Vulpine on Sept 15, 2017 17:09:24 GMT -5
what in this game is commong? xD Good question, good question. . . |
|
|
|
Post by Kat on Sept 15, 2017 17:14:34 GMT -5
I think Ill go for a bit. Yall get some sleep xD Ill be back in the morning, or maybe Ill chat with Dekay when she wakes up
|
|
|
|
Post by rosey1579 on Sept 15, 2017 17:17:05 GMT -5
I'll need to go to bed in a tick. It's late.
|
|
|
|
Post by rosey1579 on Sept 15, 2017 17:17:49 GMT -5
Goodnight then, Katie.
|
|
|
|
Post by Your Favourite Vulpine on Sept 15, 2017 17:27:35 GMT -5
G'night Rosey! I'll be off to bed soon as well, though I'm now working on a few final preparations for my upcoming game.
|
|
|
|
Post by Kat on Sept 15, 2017 19:14:47 GMT -5
Dekay where you be
|
|
|
|
Post by DeKay on Sept 15, 2017 19:48:16 GMT -5
MY THEORY: Remember how Emsy mentioned that at least every town/mafia/third combination was offered to at least someone? This happened according to the list above: - Town-Town: Keyen, Silent, Kitty, Jake, Nadine, Bella, Dahl, Nani, Broncos, - Town-Third: Hermione, (Skelda?) - Town-Scum: Sub, Tribbo - Third-Third: Ice, Zinnia - Third-Scum: Lala - Scum-Scum: Caro, Alleen So Emsy told us the truth there. Remember how Emsy mentioned there were at least 3 Mafia? I just got the thought that this could imply that 3 people were offered 2 mafia roles. As of now we only know of 2 people that they were offered 2 scum roles: - Scum-Scum: Caro, Alleen So, I have good reason to think the third scum-scum Mafia is Rosey. Rosey? Hiding something from us? Yeah, I kinda agree with this. It is highly likely that Em would put 3 scum/scum options so these people are 'forced' to pick a mafia role, ya know? If there was only one scum/scum combo, then the worst case scenario would be that only 1 person is scum, assuming no one else wants to be one. |
|
|
|
Post by DeKay on Sept 15, 2017 19:56:35 GMT -5
Okay, but if we whack Vul, will we be told what his role is? I doubt it, right? So, he could still be an unwhackable mafia.
Gah, I hope it's not Vul. Cuz if he's a mafia, then my suspicions on him on the first day is true. LOL.
But I think Rosey is more likely to be scum.
|
|
